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To bat or not to bat: An examination of match outcomes in day-night limited overs cricket


Reference:

Dawson, P., Morely, B., Paton, D. and Thomas, D., 2009. To bat or not to bat: An examination of match outcomes in day-night limited overs cricket. Journal of the Operational Research Society, 60 (12), pp. 1786-1793.

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Official URL:

http://dx.doi.org/10.1057/jors.2008.135

Abstract

The tradition of tossing a coin to decide who bats first in a cricket match introduces a randomly assigned advantage to one team that is unique in sporting contests. The potential importance of the toss rule in determining cricket match results has been the subject of some investigation, which is further advanced in this paper that utilizes a data set relating to the increasingly popular, but contentious, day-night form of limited overs cricket as played at international level. We employ logit regression models to examine the effects of winning the toss and choice of batting order on the likelihood of a match victory, while controlling for home advantage and (relative) team quality. Our findings suggest that winning the toss and batting first increases the probability of winning whereas winning the toss and bowling first does not.

Details

Item Type Articles
CreatorsDawson, P., Morely, B., Paton, D. and Thomas, D.
DOI10.1057/jors.2008.135
Uncontrolled Keywordsmatch results, cricket, uncertainty of outcome, contest rules
DepartmentsFaculty of Humanities & Social Sciences > Economics
RefereedYes
StatusPublished
ID Code15880

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