Research

A comparison of future weather created from morphed observed weather and created by a weather generator


Reference:

Eames, M., Kershaw, T. J. and Coley, D., 2012. A comparison of future weather created from morphed observed weather and created by a weather generator. Building and Environment, 56, pp. 252-264.

Related documents:

[img]
Preview
PDF (author's accepted version) - Requires a PDF viewer such as GSview, Xpdf or Adobe Acrobat Reader
Download (833kB) | Preview

    Official URL:

    http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.buildenv.2012.03.006

    Abstract

    To allow building scientists and engineers to investigate how their building designs fare in future climates there is the need for future weather files on an hourly timescale, which are representative of possible future climates. With the publication of the most recent UK Climate Projections (UKCP09) such data can be created for future years up to the end of the 21st century and for various predictions of climate change by one of two methods: mathematical transformations of observed weather (morphing), or the use of a synthetic weather generator. Here current and future weather is created by both of these methods for three locations within the UK and their statistical signatures discussed. Although the potential to use both products to investigate the effects of climate change is clear, it is found that the use of UKCP09 climate change anomalies within the morphing procedure give an unrealistic representations of future temperatures both mathematically and physically, limiting its use.

    Details

    Item Type Articles
    CreatorsEames, M., Kershaw, T. J. and Coley, D.
    DOI10.1016/j.buildenv.2012.03.006
    DepartmentsFaculty of Engineering & Design > Architecture & Civil Engineering
    Publisher StatementColey_Building-Environment_2012_56_252.pdf: NOTICE: this is the author’s version of a work that was accepted for publication in Building and Environment. Changes resulting from the publishing process, such as peer review, editing, corrections, structural formatting, and other quality control mechanisms may not be reflected in this document. Changes may have been made to this work since it was submitted for publication. A definitive version was subsequently published in Building and Environment, vol 56, 2012, DOI: 10.1016/j.buildenv.2012.03.006; Coley_Building-Environment_2012_56_252.doc: NOTICE: this is the author’s version of a work that was accepted for publication in Building and Environment. Changes resulting from the publishing process, such as peer review, editing, corrections, structural formatting, and other quality control mechanisms may not be reflected in this document. Changes may have been made to this work since it was submitted for publication. A definitive version was subsequently published in Building and Environment, vol 56, 2012, DOI: 10.1016/j.buildenv.2012.03.006
    RefereedYes
    StatusPublished
    ID Code29652

    Export

    Actions (login required)

    View Item

    Document Downloads

    More statistics for this item...