Research

Items by Goodwin, Paul

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Number of items: 47.

Book/s

Goodwin, P. and Wright, G., 2009. Decision Analysis for Management Judgment (4th ed.). Chichester, U. K.: Wiley.

Nikolopoulos, K., Stafylarakis, M., Goodwin, P. and Fildes, R., 2006. Why do companies not produce better forecasts overtime? An organisational learning approach. Vol. 12. Laxenburg: IFAC Secretariat. (IFAC Proceedings)

Book Sections

Meeran, S., Dyussekeneva, K. and Goodwin, P., 2013. Sales forecasting using combination of diffusion model and forecast market : An adaption of prediction/preference markets. In: Proceedings of 7th IFAC Conference on Manufacturing Modelling, Management, and Control, 2013. IFAC, pp. 87-92. (Manufacturing Modelling, Management, and Control; 7/1)

Wright, G. and Goodwin, P., 2013. Structuring the decision process : an evaluation of methods. In: Starbuck, W. H. and Hodgkinson, G. P., eds. The Oxford Handbook of Organizational Decision Making. Oxford, U. K.: Oxford University Press, pp. 534-551. (Oxford Handbooks in Business and Management)

Articles

Lin, V. S., Goodwin, P. and Song, H., 2014. Accuracy and bias of experts' adjusted forecasts. Annals of Tourism Research, 48, pp. 156-174.

Goodwin, P., Meeran, S. and Dyussekeneva, K., 2014. The challenges of pre-launch forecasting of adoption time series for new durable products. International Journal of Forecasting, 30 (4), 1082–1097.

Goodwin, P., Dyussekeneva, K. and Meeran, S., 2013. The use of analogies in forecasting the annual sales of new electronics products. IMA Journal of Management Mathematics, 24 (4), pp. 407-422.

Goodwin, P., Sinan Gönül, M. and Önkal, D., 2013. Antecedents and effects of trust in forecasting advice. International Journal of Forecasting, 29 (2), pp. 354-366.

Kreye, M. E., Goh, Y. M., Newnes, L. B. and Goodwin, P., 2012. Approaches to displaying information to assist decisions under uncertainty. Omega-International Journal of Management Science, 40 (6), pp. 682-692.

Goodwin, P. and Meeran, S., 2012. Robust testing of the utility-based high-technology product sales forecasting models proposed by Decker and Gnibba-Yukawa. Journal of Product Innovation Management, 29 (S1), pp. 211-218.

Goodwin, P., Fildes, R., Lawrence, M. and Stephens, G., 2011. Restrictiveness and guidance in support systems. Omega-International Journal of Management Science, 39 (3), pp. 242-253.

Goodwin, P., 2010. Business forecasters can gain from the cross-fertilization of IOOB and JDM. Industrial and Organizational Psychology: Perspectives on Science and Practice, 3 (4), pp. 429-430.

Goodwin, P., Onkal, D. and Thomson, M., 2010. Do forecasts expressed as prediction intervals improve production planning decisions? European Journal of Operational Research, 205 (1), pp. 195-201.

Goodwin, P. and Wright, G., 2010. The limits of forecasting methods in anticipating rare events. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 77 (3), pp. 355-368.

Wright, G. and Goodwin, P., 2009. Decision making and planning under low levels of predictability : enhancing the scenario method. International Journal of Forecasting, 25 (4), pp. 813-825.

Onkal, D., Goodwin, P., Thomson, M., Gonul, S. and Pollock, A., 2009. The relative influence of advice from human experts and statistical methods on forecast adjustments. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 22 (4), pp. 390-409.

Wright, G., Cairns, G. and Goodwin, P., 2009. Teaching scenario planning : lessons from practice in academe and business. European Journal of Operational Research, 194 (1), pp. 323-335.

Syntetos, A. A., Nikolopoulos, K., Boylan, J. E., Fildes, R. and Goodwin, P., 2009. The effects of integrating management judgement into intermittent demand forecasts. International Journal of Production Economics, 118 (1), pp. 72-81.

Fildes, R., Goodwin, P., Lawrence, M. and Nikolopoulos, K., 2009. Effective forecasting and judgmental adjustments : An empirical evaluation and strategies for improvement in supply-chain planning. International Journal of Forecasting, 25 (1), pp. 3-23.

Gonul, S., Onkal, D. and Goodwin, P., 2009. Expectations, use and judgmental adjustment of external financial and economic forecasts: an empirical investigation. Journal of Forecasting, 28 (1), pp. 19-37.

Fildes, R., Goodwin, P., Lawrence, M. and Nikolopoulos, K., 2009. Reply to Commentaries by Flores, Önkal and Sanders. International Journal of Forecasting, 25 (1), pp. 32-34.

Goodwin, P., 2009. Common sense and hard decision analysis : why might they conflict? Management Decision, 47 (3), pp. 427-440.

Goodwin, P., 2008. Unscientific forecasts and wise decisions : Commentary on armstrong, green, and soon. Interfaces, 38 (5), pp. 400-402.

Fildes, R. and Goodwin, P., 2007. Against your better judgment? How organizations can improve their use of management judgment in forecasting. Interfaces, 37 (6), pp. 570-576.

Parackal, M., Goodwin, P. and O'Connor, M., 2007. Judgement in forecasting. International Journal of Forecasting, 23 (3), pp. 343-345.

Goodwin, P., 2007. The ombudsman: forecasting conflict resolution : is it worth asking an expert? Interfaces, 37 (3), pp. 285-286.

Nikolopoulos, K., Goodwin, P., Patelis, A. and Assimakopoulos, V., 2007. Forecasting with cue information : a comparison of multiple regression with alternative forecasting approaches. European Journal of Operational Research, 180 (1), pp. 354-368.

Lee, W. Y., Goodwin, P., Fildes, R., Nikolopoulos, K. and Lawrence, M., 2007. Providing support for the use of analogies in demand forecasting tasks. International Journal of Forecasting, 23 (3), pp. 377-390.

Goodwin, P., 2007. Should we be using significance tests in forecasting research? International Journal of Forecasting, 23 (2), pp. 333-334.

Goodwin, P., Fildes, R., Lawrence, M. and Nikolopoulos, K., 2007. The process of using a forecasting support system. International Journal of Forecasting, 23 (3), pp. 391-404.

Lawrence, M., Goodwin, P., O'Connor, M. and Onkal, D., 2006. Judgmental forecasting : a review of progress over the last 25 years. International Journal of Forecasting, 22 (3), pp. 493-518.

Fildes, R., Goodwin, P. and Lawrence, M., 2006. The design features of forecasting support systems and their effectiveness. Decision Support Systems, 42 (1), pp. 351-361.

Goodwin, P., 2005. How to integrate management judgment with statistical forecasts. Foresight: the International Journal of Applied Forecasting, 1, pp. 8-12.

Goodwin, P., 2005. Providing support for decisions based on time series information under conditions for asymmetric loss. European Journal of Operational Research, 163 (2), pp. 388-402.

Goodwin, P., Onkal-Atay, D., Thomson, M. E., Pollock, A. E. and Macaulay, A., 2004. Feedback-labelling synergies in judgmental stock price forecasting. Decision Support Systems, 37 (1), pp. 175-186.

Thomson, M. E., Onkal-Atay, D., Avcioglu, A. and Goodwin, P., 2004. Aviation risk perception : a comparison between experts and novices. Risk Analysis, 24 (6), pp. 1585-1595.

Goodwin, P. and Lawton, R., 2003. Debiasing forecasts : how useful is the unbiasedness test? International Journal of Forecasting, 19 (3), pp. 467-475.

Goodwin, P., 2003. International marketing forecasts. International Journal of Forecasting, 19 (4), pp. 753-754.

Goodwin, P., 2003. Practical forecasting for managers. International Journal of Forecasting, 19 (3), pp. 532-534.

Wright, G. and Goodwin, P., 2002. Eliminating a framing bias by using simple instructions to 'think harder' and respondents with managerial experience : comment on 'breaking the frame'. Strategic Management Journal, 23 (11), pp. 1059-1067.

Goodwin, P., 2002. Forecasting games : can game theory win? International Journal of Forecasting, 18 (3), pp. 369-374.

Goodwin, P., 2002. How to forecast: a guide for business. International Journal of Forecasting, 18 (3), pp. 463-464.

Lawrence, M., Goodwin, P. and Fildes, R., 2002. Influence of user participation on DSS use and decision accuracy. Omega-International Journal of Management Science, 30 (5), pp. 381-392.

Goodwin, P., 2002. Integrating management judgment and statistical methods to improve short-term forecasts. Omega, 30 (2), pp. 127-135.

Goodwin, P., Ord, J. K. and Oller, L. E., 2002. Principles of forecasting: A handbook for researchers and practitioners. International Journal of Forecasting, 18 (3), pp. 468-478.

Roberts, R. and Goodwin, P., 2002. Weight approximations in multi-attribute decision models. Journal of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis, 11 (6), pp. 291-303.

Goodwin, P. and Wright, G., 2001. Enhancing strategy evaluation in scenario planning : a role for decision analysis. Journal of Management Studies, 38 (1), pp. 1-16.

This list was generated on Sun Nov 23 19:25:32 2014 GMT.