Research

Items by Goodwin, Paul

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Number of items: 46.

Book/s

Goodwin, P. and Wright, G., 2009. Decision Analysis for Management Judgment (4th ed.). Chichester, U. K.: Wiley.

Nikolopoulos, K., Stafylarakis, M., Goodwin, P. and Fildes, R., 2006. Why do companies not produce better forecasts overtime? An organisational learning approach. Vol. 12. Laxenburg: IFAC Secretariat. (IFAC Proceedings)

Book Sections

Meeran, S., Dyussekeneva, K. and Goodwin, P., 2013. Sales forecasting using combination of diffusion model and forecast market : An adaption of prediction/preference markets. In: Proceedings of 7th IFAC Conference on Manufacturing Modelling, Management, and Control, 2013. IFAC, pp. 87-92. (Manufacturing Modelling, Management, and Control; 7/1)

Wright, G. and Goodwin, P., 2013. Structuring the decision process : an evaluation of methods. In: Starbuck, W. H. and Hodgkinson, G. P., eds. The Oxford Handbook of Organizational Decision Making. Oxford, U. K.: Oxford University Press, pp. 534-551. (Oxford Handbooks in Business and Management)

Articles

Lin, V. S., Goodwin, P. and Song, H., 2014. Accuracy and bias of experts' adjusted forecasts. Annals of Tourism Research, 48, pp. 156-174.

Goodwin, P., Dyussekeneva, K. and Meeran, S., 2013. The use of analogies in forecasting the annual sales of new electronics products. IMA Journal of Management Mathematics, 24 (4), pp. 407-422.

Goodwin, P., Sinan Gönül, M. and Önkal, D., 2013. Antecedents and effects of trust in forecasting advice. International Journal of Forecasting, 29 (2), pp. 354-366.

Kreye, M. E., Goh, Y. M., Newnes, L. B. and Goodwin, P., 2012. Approaches to displaying information to assist decisions under uncertainty. Omega-International Journal of Management Science, 40 (6), pp. 682-692.

Goodwin, P. and Meeran, S., 2012. Robust testing of the utility-based high-technology product sales forecasting models proposed by Decker and Gnibba-Yukawa. Journal of Product Innovation Management, 29 (S1), pp. 211-218.

Goodwin, P., Fildes, R., Lawrence, M. and Stephens, G., 2011. Restrictiveness and guidance in support systems. Omega-International Journal of Management Science, 39 (3), pp. 242-253.

Goodwin, P., 2010. Business forecasters can gain from the cross-fertilization of IOOB and JDM. Industrial and Organizational Psychology: Perspectives on Science and Practice, 3 (4), pp. 429-430.

Goodwin, P., Onkal, D. and Thomson, M., 2010. Do forecasts expressed as prediction intervals improve production planning decisions? European Journal of Operational Research, 205 (1), pp. 195-201.

Goodwin, P. and Wright, G., 2010. The limits of forecasting methods in anticipating rare events. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 77 (3), pp. 355-368.

Wright, G. and Goodwin, P., 2009. Decision making and planning under low levels of predictability : enhancing the scenario method. International Journal of Forecasting, 25 (4), pp. 813-825.

Onkal, D., Goodwin, P., Thomson, M., Gonul, S. and Pollock, A., 2009. The relative influence of advice from human experts and statistical methods on forecast adjustments. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 22 (4), pp. 390-409.

Wright, G., Cairns, G. and Goodwin, P., 2009. Teaching scenario planning : lessons from practice in academe and business. European Journal of Operational Research, 194 (1), pp. 323-335.

Syntetos, A. A., Nikolopoulos, K., Boylan, J. E., Fildes, R. and Goodwin, P., 2009. The effects of integrating management judgement into intermittent demand forecasts. International Journal of Production Economics, 118 (1), pp. 72-81.

Fildes, R., Goodwin, P., Lawrence, M. and Nikolopoulos, K., 2009. Effective forecasting and judgmental adjustments : An empirical evaluation and strategies for improvement in supply-chain planning. International Journal of Forecasting, 25 (1), pp. 3-23.

Gonul, S., Onkal, D. and Goodwin, P., 2009. Expectations, use and judgmental adjustment of external financial and economic forecasts: an empirical investigation. Journal of Forecasting, 28 (1), pp. 19-37.

Fildes, R., Goodwin, P., Lawrence, M. and Nikolopoulos, K., 2009. Reply to Commentaries by Flores, Önkal and Sanders. International Journal of Forecasting, 25 (1), pp. 32-34.

Goodwin, P., 2009. Common sense and hard decision analysis : why might they conflict? Management Decision, 47 (3), pp. 427-440.

Goodwin, P., 2008. Unscientific forecasts and wise decisions : Commentary on armstrong, green, and soon. Interfaces, 38 (5), pp. 400-402.

Fildes, R. and Goodwin, P., 2007. Against your better judgment? How organizations can improve their use of management judgment in forecasting. Interfaces, 37 (6), pp. 570-576.

Parackal, M., Goodwin, P. and O'Connor, M., 2007. Judgement in forecasting. International Journal of Forecasting, 23 (3), pp. 343-345.

Goodwin, P., 2007. The ombudsman: forecasting conflict resolution : is it worth asking an expert? Interfaces, 37 (3), pp. 285-286.

Nikolopoulos, K., Goodwin, P., Patelis, A. and Assimakopoulos, V., 2007. Forecasting with cue information : a comparison of multiple regression with alternative forecasting approaches. European Journal of Operational Research, 180 (1), pp. 354-368.

Lee, W. Y., Goodwin, P., Fildes, R., Nikolopoulos, K. and Lawrence, M., 2007. Providing support for the use of analogies in demand forecasting tasks. International Journal of Forecasting, 23 (3), pp. 377-390.

Goodwin, P., 2007. Should we be using significance tests in forecasting research? International Journal of Forecasting, 23 (2), pp. 333-334.

Goodwin, P., Fildes, R., Lawrence, M. and Nikolopoulos, K., 2007. The process of using a forecasting support system. International Journal of Forecasting, 23 (3), pp. 391-404.

Lawrence, M., Goodwin, P., O'Connor, M. and Onkal, D., 2006. Judgmental forecasting : a review of progress over the last 25 years. International Journal of Forecasting, 22 (3), pp. 493-518.

Fildes, R., Goodwin, P. and Lawrence, M., 2006. The design features of forecasting support systems and their effectiveness. Decision Support Systems, 42 (1), pp. 351-361.

Goodwin, P., 2005. How to integrate management judgment with statistical forecasts. Foresight: the International Journal of Applied Forecasting, 1, pp. 8-12.

Goodwin, P., 2005. Providing support for decisions based on time series information under conditions for asymmetric loss. European Journal of Operational Research, 163 (2), pp. 388-402.

Goodwin, P., Onkal-Atay, D., Thomson, M. E., Pollock, A. E. and Macaulay, A., 2004. Feedback-labelling synergies in judgmental stock price forecasting. Decision Support Systems, 37 (1), pp. 175-186.

Thomson, M. E., Onkal-Atay, D., Avcioglu, A. and Goodwin, P., 2004. Aviation risk perception : a comparison between experts and novices. Risk Analysis, 24 (6), pp. 1585-1595.

Goodwin, P. and Lawton, R., 2003. Debiasing forecasts : how useful is the unbiasedness test? International Journal of Forecasting, 19 (3), pp. 467-475.

Goodwin, P., 2003. International marketing forecasts. International Journal of Forecasting, 19 (4), pp. 753-754.

Goodwin, P., 2003. Practical forecasting for managers. International Journal of Forecasting, 19 (3), pp. 532-534.

Wright, G. and Goodwin, P., 2002. Eliminating a framing bias by using simple instructions to 'think harder' and respondents with managerial experience : comment on 'breaking the frame'. Strategic Management Journal, 23 (11), pp. 1059-1067.

Goodwin, P., 2002. Forecasting games : can game theory win? International Journal of Forecasting, 18 (3), pp. 369-374.

Goodwin, P., 2002. How to forecast: a guide for business. International Journal of Forecasting, 18 (3), pp. 463-464.

Lawrence, M., Goodwin, P. and Fildes, R., 2002. Influence of user participation on DSS use and decision accuracy. Omega-International Journal of Management Science, 30 (5), pp. 381-392.

Goodwin, P., 2002. Integrating management judgment and statistical methods to improve short-term forecasts. Omega, 30 (2), pp. 127-135.

Goodwin, P., Ord, J. K. and Oller, L. E., 2002. Principles of forecasting: A handbook for researchers and practitioners. International Journal of Forecasting, 18 (3), pp. 468-478.

Roberts, R. and Goodwin, P., 2002. Weight approximations in multi-attribute decision models. Journal of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis, 11 (6), pp. 291-303.

Goodwin, P. and Wright, G., 2001. Enhancing strategy evaluation in scenario planning : a role for decision analysis. Journal of Management Studies, 38 (1), pp. 1-16.

This list was generated on Sat Oct 25 18:49:02 2014 IST.